Wednesday, October 28, 2026

Tax the rich? New Zealanders can argue about it; Sri Lanka must first find them

A recent survey from New Zealand sparked a conversation that resonates far beyond its shores. Nearly 190,000 people participated in an online poll conducted by the country's national broadcaster, making it one of the largest public consultations of its kind. One question stood out above the rest: should wealthier people pay more tax? Sixty-two percent said yes. The results were striking, but perhaps even more striking is what they reveal when held up against the economic reality of a country like Sri Lanka—a nation still clawing its way out of a devastating financial collapse. While New Zealanders debate the fairness of taxing the rich, Sri Lanka faces a far more fundamental challenge: finding its wealthy citizens in the first place.

What the New Zealand Poll Really Tells Us

The survey results were not entirely surprising. Seventy percent of the lowest earners in New Zealand supported higher taxes on the wealthy, which aligns with decades of global polling on income inequality. What made the New Zealand data more compelling, however, was that support for wealth taxation extended well beyond low-income brackets. Even among higher earners, a significant portion agreed that the tax burden should shift upward. This suggests a growing public consensus, at least in developed nations, that the current tax structure is not delivering the fairness people expect from modern economies.

New Zealand is not alone in this sentiment. Similar debates are playing out across the United Kingdom, Australia, Canada, and much of Western Europe. Governments in these countries are being pressured to introduce wealth taxes, raise capital gains levies, or close loopholes that allow the ultra-wealthy to pay effective tax rates lower than those of middle-class workers. The political will may be contested, but the infrastructure to implement such policies—functioning tax authorities, transparent financial systems, comprehensive property registries—already exists.

Sri Lanka's Very Different Problem

Now consider Sri Lanka. In 2022, the island nation experienced one of the worst economic collapses in modern Asian history. Foreign exchange reserves dried up, fuel queues stretched for miles, medicine ran short, and the sitting president fled the country amid mass protests. The International Monetary Fund stepped in with a bailout package, but with strict conditions attached—including the urgent need to raise domestic tax revenue.

Here lies the fundamental difference. Sri Lanka does not have the luxury of debating whether to tax the rich. It needs to do so urgently. But the country faces a problem that no poll can solve: its wealthy citizens are extraordinarily difficult to identify and track within the formal tax system. Underreporting of income is rampant. Large portions of the economy operate in cash. Property ownership is often obscured through informal arrangements or registered under family members. Tax evasion is not just common—it is, in many circles, culturally normalized.

According to various economic analyses, Sri Lanka's tax-to-GDP ratio has been among the lowest in Asia for years, hovering around 8 to 9 percent at its worst. Compare that to New Zealand's ratio of approximately 32 percent, and the scale of the challenge becomes immediately clear. The issue is not simply political will. It is institutional capacity, data infrastructure, and a decades-long failure to build a culture of tax compliance among those most able to pay.

The Global Wealth Tax Conversation Misses Key Realities

The global discourse around taxing the wealthy tends to be dominated by voices from the Global North—economists at Ivy League universities, think tanks in London or Brussels, and politicians in countries where the basic machinery of taxation already functions. Their arguments are important and often correct. Wealth concentration is increasing. Capital is undertaxed relative to labor. Billionaires frequently pay lower effective rates than nurses or teachers.

But these conversations can inadvertently obscure the very different challenges facing developing economies. For countries like Sri Lanka, Bangladesh, Nigeria, or Pakistan, the first step is not designing an elegant wealth tax policy. The first step is building the systems that make any tax policy enforceable. That means investing in digital financial infrastructure, mandatory property registration, beneficial ownership transparency, and tax authority staffing and training. Without these foundations, even the most progressive tax code becomes meaningless on paper.

Two Countries, One Lesson

The contrast between New Zealand and Sri Lanka is not simply a story about wealth or poverty. It is a story about institutional development and what becomes possible once that development is in place. New Zealanders have the privilege of arguing about how to distribute the tax burden more fairly because their system already captures most of what is owed. Sri Lanka must first build that system.

The global push for wealth taxation is necessary and long overdue. But policymakers, international lenders, and development organizations must recognize that the path to taxing the rich looks very different depending on where you are standing. In Wellington, it is a policy debate. In Colombo, it is still, painfully, a treasure hunt.