Wednesday, October 21, 2026

Sri Lankaโ€™s terror law could cost it a trade lifeline

Sri Lanka stands at a critical crossroads. A nation that spent four decades wrestling with one of Asia's most controversial security laws now faces a bitter irony: the replacement legislation designed to satisfy European human rights standards may end up doing precisely the opposite. The Protection of the State from Terrorism Bill, known as the PSTA, was positioned as a modernizing reform โ€” a clean break from the much-maligned Prevention of Terrorism Act. Instead, it may be pushing Sri Lanka closer to losing one of its most valuable economic lifelines: preferential trade access to the European Union.

The Long Shadow of the PTA

To understand what is at stake, it is worth revisiting the law the PSTA is meant to replace. The Prevention of Terrorism Act was introduced in 1979 as a temporary measure during a period of rising internal conflict. Even members of the parliament that passed it acknowledged its extraordinary and exceptional nature. Yet "temporary" proved to be a generous description. The PTA survived for over four decades, outlasting the civil war it was largely designed to address, and became a tool repeatedly criticized by international human rights organizations for enabling arbitrary detention, torture, and the suppression of political dissent.

Tamils, journalists, activists, and ordinary citizens found themselves ensnared by its sweeping provisions. Calls for repeal came not only from civil society but from Sri Lanka's international partners, most notably the European Union. Brussels made reform of the PTA a central condition for Sri Lanka's continued eligibility under the Generalized Scheme of Preferences Plus, commonly known as GSP+. This preferential trade arrangement allows Sri Lankan exporters โ€” particularly in the garment and textile sectors โ€” to access EU markets at significantly reduced or zero tariff rates, a benefit worth hundreds of millions of dollars annually to an economy that has only recently begun recovering from a devastating financial crisis.

A Reform That May Not Be Reform Enough

The PSTA was gazetted with considerable fanfare as the answer to Brussels' concerns. On the surface, the logic was straightforward: retire the PTA, introduce a new framework that aligns more closely with international human rights norms, and secure the continued goodwill โ€” and trade benefits โ€” of the European Union. However, legal analysts, civil society groups, and international observers have raised serious alarms about what the new bill actually contains.

Critics argue that the PSTA, despite its new name and updated language, preserves many of the most troubling features of its predecessor. Broad definitions of terrorism, extended detention powers, and provisions that could be used against peaceful protest and political opposition have all drawn scrutiny. Rather than narrowing the scope of what constitutes a security threat, the bill may have widened it. Human rights organizations warn that the PSTA could, in practice, be deployed just as aggressively as the PTA โ€” or more so โ€” simply wearing newer legislative clothing.

For the EU, which has made the protection of civil liberties, minority rights, and the rule of law explicit benchmarks for GSP+ eligibility, this is not a minor procedural concern. Brussels has shown a willingness to suspend trade preferences when it believes recipient countries are backsliding on commitments. Cambodia and Myanmar have both experienced such suspensions in recent years. Sri Lanka, which had its own GSP+ status previously suspended and then restored following reforms, cannot afford to treat European patience as unlimited.

The Economic Stakes Are Enormous

The timing of this legislative misstep, if it proves to be one, could hardly be worse. Sri Lanka is still navigating the aftermath of its 2022 economic collapse โ€” the worst in the country's post-independence history. Foreign exchange reserves were depleted, food and fuel shortages gripped the population, and the government was forced into an IMF bailout program. Export revenues, particularly from garments destined for European markets, have been a critical stabilizing force during the recovery period.

Losing GSP+ access would not simply be a symbolic blow. Industry estimates suggest that tariff increases on Sri Lankan goods entering the EU could render many export businesses uncompetitive overnight. Jobs in the manufacturing sector โ€” a sector that employs a significant proportion of Sri Lanka's working women โ€” would be directly threatened. The ripple effects across an already fragile economy could be severe.

A Government Caught Between Two Pressures

Sri Lanka's government appears to be attempting to satisfy two conflicting audiences simultaneously. Domestically, there are political constituencies that favor robust security legislation, particularly given the country's recent history of both separatist conflict and the 2019 Easter Sunday bombings. Internationally, the pressure runs in the opposite direction, demanding accountability, rights protections, and genuine legal reform.

Navigating that tension was always going to be difficult. But passing a bill that satisfies neither camp โ€” one that is too restrictive for European human rights standards while potentially being seen as insufficiently tough by domestic security hawks โ€” represents a significant political miscalculation. Sri Lanka's leaders must now reckon with the possibility that in trying to please Brussels, they may have written a law that does the opposite, and that the cost of that miscalculation will ultimately be borne not by politicians, but by workers, exporters, and an economy still fighting to find its footing.