Tuesday, February 03, 2026

‘Sri Lanka’s forests are undervalued economic assets — and markets are paying the price’

Sri Lanka's economic recovery strategy has centered on traditional pillars: boosting exports, enhancing productivity, and achieving fiscal consolidation. However, a critical asset worth billions remains conspicuously absent from the nation's economic blueprint – its vast forest resources and time-tested forest-based farming systems. This oversight has evolved from an environmental concern into a tangible business risk that threatens long-term economic stability.

The Hidden Economic Powerhouse

Sri Lanka's forests represent far more than scenic landscapes or biodiversity havens. These ecosystems function as sophisticated economic engines, providing essential services that directly impact market performance and national prosperity. From carbon sequestration and watershed protection to sustainable timber production and eco-tourism opportunities, forests generate substantial economic value that traditional accounting methods consistently undervalue.

The country's forest cover, which spans approximately 29% of the total land area, contributes to industries ranging from pharmaceuticals and cosmetics to sustainable agriculture and renewable energy. Yet current economic models fail to capture these contributions, leading to systematic underinvestment in forest conservation and management.

Traditional Forest-Based Farming: A Sustainable Solution

Sri Lanka's traditional forest-based farming systems, known locally as "chena" cultivation and agroforestry practices, have sustained communities for centuries while maintaining ecological balance. These systems integrate crop production with forest conservation, creating resilient agricultural models that modern sustainable development frameworks are only beginning to appreciate.

Research indicates that well-managed agroforestry systems can generate 30-40% higher returns than conventional monoculture farming while simultaneously preserving biodiversity and soil health. For a nation grappling with food security and export diversification challenges, these traditional practices offer proven pathways to economic resilience.

Market Implications and Business Risks

The systematic undervaluation of forest assets creates cascading effects throughout Sri Lanka's economy. International markets increasingly demand transparency regarding environmental sustainability, carbon footprints, and supply chain responsibility. Companies operating without comprehensive forest asset valuations face growing risks of investor withdrawal, consumer boycotts, and regulatory penalties.

Climate-related financial disclosures now mandate that businesses account for natural capital, including forest resources, in their risk assessments and strategic planning. Sri Lankan enterprises that fail to integrate forest asset values into their operations may find themselves at competitive disadvantages in global markets.

The Carbon Credit Opportunity

Sri Lanka's forests represent untapped potential in rapidly expanding carbon credit markets. Conservative estimates suggest that the country's forest ecosystems could generate millions of dollars annually through verified carbon offset programs. However, without proper valuation frameworks and management systems, this revenue stream remains largely inaccessible.

Neighboring countries have successfully monetized their forest carbon assets, generating substantial foreign exchange earnings while improving forest management practices. Sri Lanka's delay in developing similar programs represents a significant opportunity cost that compounds annually as carbon prices continue rising globally.

Economic Integration Strategies

Incorporating forest assets into Sri Lanka's economic planning requires comprehensive policy reforms and innovative financing mechanisms. Natural capital accounting systems must be established to quantify forest contributions to GDP, employment, and export earnings. This data foundation enables evidence-based decision-making and attracts international climate finance.

Public-private partnerships can accelerate forest asset development while distributing investment risks. Successful models from Costa Rica and Rwanda demonstrate how governments can create enabling environments for private sector forest investment while maintaining conservation objectives.

Technology and Innovation Drivers

Modern technology offers unprecedented opportunities to unlock forest asset value through precision monitoring, blockchain-verified sustainability certificates, and AI-powered resource optimization. Sri Lankan startups and established companies can leverage these tools to create new revenue streams while enhancing forest management effectiveness.

Remote sensing technologies enable real-time forest health monitoring, supporting sustainable harvesting practices and early intervention strategies. These capabilities transform forests from static assets into dynamic, manageable economic resources that respond to market demands while maintaining ecological integrity.

The Path Forward

Sri Lanka stands at a critical juncture where economic necessity and environmental stewardship converge. The country's forest assets represent a multi-billion-dollar opportunity that can support economic recovery while building long-term resilience against climate change and market volatility.

Immediate action requires policy makers to integrate natural capital accounting into national economic frameworks, establish clear property rights for forest resources, and create incentive structures that reward sustainable forest management. The cost of continued inaction grows daily as global markets increasingly penalize environmentally unsustainable practices.

Sri Lanka's forests are not merely environmental assets awaiting protection – they are economic powerhouses ready to drive sustainable prosperity. The question is no longer whether to integrate forests into economic planning, but how quickly this integration can be achieved before competitors capture the growing sustainable economy market share.