Sunday, January 11, 2026

Showers above 100 mm are likely at some places in the Eastern and Uva provinces and showers about 50-75 mm in other areas

Sri Lanka faces significant rainfall today as the Department of Meteorology issues warnings for heavy showers exceeding 100mm in the Eastern and Uva provinces, while other areas can expect moderate precipitation of 50-75mm. The weather system responsible for these conditions stems from a depression in the Bay of Bengal, positioned approximately 490 kilometers southeast of Pottuvil.

Current Weather System and Location

The meteorological department's forecast, issued at 5:30 a.m. on January 8, 2026, identifies a depression centered near latitude 5.3°N and longitude 86.0°E in the Bay of Bengal. This weather system, recorded at 11:30 p.m. on January 7, continues to influence Sri Lanka's weather patterns, bringing substantial moisture and atmospheric disturbances to the island nation.

The depression's proximity to Sri Lanka's southeastern coast makes it a significant weather event requiring close monitoring. Weather systems of this nature typically bring enhanced rainfall, strong winds, and potential flooding risks to affected regions.

Regional Impact Assessment

The Eastern Province, comprising Ampara, Batticaloa, and Trincomalee districts, faces the highest rainfall intensity. These areas should prepare for precipitation levels exceeding 100mm, which can lead to localized flooding, especially in low-lying areas and regions with poor drainage systems.

The Uva Province, including Badulla and Moneragala districts, also falls under the heavy rainfall warning. The mountainous terrain in these areas may experience enhanced precipitation due to orographic effects, where moisture-laden air masses are forced upward, resulting in increased rainfall on windward slopes.

Other provinces across Sri Lanka should anticipate moderate to heavy showers ranging from 50-75mm. While these amounts are less severe than the primary affected areas, residents should remain vigilant for potential weather-related disruptions.

Safety Precautions and Recommendations

Residents in high-risk areas should take immediate precautionary measures. Those living near rivers, streams, or in flood-prone zones should monitor water levels closely and be prepared to evacuate if necessary. Agricultural communities should secure crops and livestock, while urban residents should clear drainage systems around their properties.

Transportation may be significantly affected, with potential road closures, reduced visibility, and hazardous driving conditions. Commuters should plan alternative routes and allow extra travel time. Maritime activities along the eastern coast should exercise extreme caution due to rough sea conditions associated with the weather system.

Emergency services and local authorities are likely on high alert, coordinating response efforts and monitoring vulnerable areas. Residents should stay informed through official weather updates and heed any evacuation orders or safety advisories issued by local officials.

Historical Context and Seasonal Patterns

January typically marks the northeast monsoon season in Sri Lanka, when the country experiences its secondary rainy season. However, the current weather system represents an intensification beyond normal seasonal patterns, largely due to the Bay of Bengal depression's influence.

The Eastern and Uva provinces are particularly susceptible to heavy rainfall during this period due to their geographical positioning and topographical features. The interaction between monsoon winds and the island's central mountain range creates conditions conducive to enhanced precipitation in these regions.

Economic and Agricultural Implications

Heavy rainfall events significantly impact Sri Lanka's agricultural sector, which remains a crucial component of the national economy. While adequate rainfall supports crop growth, excessive precipitation can damage standing crops, delay harvesting activities, and affect transportation of agricultural products to markets.

Rice cultivation, particularly prevalent in the Eastern Province, may experience both positive and negative effects. Adequate water supply benefits paddy fields, but excessive rainfall can lead to crop damage and soil erosion. Tea plantations in the Uva Province face similar challenges, where optimal moisture levels are essential but flooding can devastate crops.

Monitoring and Future Outlook

The Department of Meteorology continues tracking the Bay of Bengal depression's movement and intensity. Weather models suggest the system may gradually weaken as it moves away from Sri Lankan waters, but residents should remain alert for updated forecasts and warnings.

Climate patterns indicate that such weather systems may become more frequent and intense due to changing oceanic conditions in the Indian Ocean region. Long-term preparedness and improved early warning systems remain essential for minimizing weather-related risks.

Citizens are advised to stay connected with official weather services, local authorities, and emergency management agencies for real-time updates. Social media platforms and mobile applications provide additional channels for receiving timely weather information and safety alerts during severe weather events.