Wednesday, March 04, 2026

The Easter Sunday massacre was not inevitable, and the Rajapaksas’ politicisation of a “Muslim threat” may have facilitated it. – Tisaranee Gunasekara

The Easter Sunday bombings of 2019 remain one of Sri Lanka's darkest chapters, claiming over 250 lives across churches and hotels. While investigations focused on identifying perpetrators, critical questions emerged about whether political rhetoric and systematic exploitation of religious tensions created conditions that facilitated this tragedy.

The Political Context of Religious Division

Sri Lanka's complex ethnic and religious landscape has long been susceptible to political manipulation. The Rajapaksa political dynasty, known for mobilizing Sinhalese Buddhist nationalism, had consistently portrayed minority communities as potential security threats. This strategy proved electorally successful but created dangerous social fissures.

Following their electoral defeat in 2015, the Rajapaksas intensified rhetoric around a perceived "Muslim threat" to Buddhist Sri Lanka. This narrative gained traction through social media campaigns, public statements, and proxy organizations that amplified anti-Muslim sentiment across the country.

Warning Signs and Intelligence Failures

Multiple intelligence reports had warned of potential attacks by Islamic extremist groups in the weeks preceding Easter Sunday. However, the prevailing political climate may have influenced how these warnings were processed and acted upon. The politicization of security concerns had created an environment where genuine threats became entangled with manufactured fears.

The failure to prevent the attacks despite advance intelligence raises questions about whether the systematic demonization of Muslim communities had desensitized security apparatus to real dangers. When political rhetoric consistently portrays an entire community as threatening, distinguishing actual security risks becomes more challenging.

Electoral Calculations and Minority Targeting

Political analysts note that anti-Muslim sentiment had become a reliable vote mobilizer for certain political factions. The 2018 anti-Muslim riots in Kandy, the promotion of extremist Buddhist groups, and the consistent portrayal of Muslims as an existential threat served clear electoral purposes.

This calculated exploitation of religious tensions created a social atmosphere where violence against minorities became normalized. While politicians may not have directly incited the Easter attacks, their rhetoric contributed to a climate where such violence became conceivable.

Media Manipulation and Social Division

The systematic use of media platforms to spread anti-Muslim propaganda played a crucial role in shaping public opinion. Fake news, distorted statistics about Muslim population growth, and conspiracy theories about Islamic takeover plans were regularly circulated through both traditional and social media.

This information warfare created echo chambers where extremist views flourished on multiple sides. The polarization may have inadvertently provided ideological cover for actual terrorist groups while simultaneously making society less capable of identifying and addressing real threats.

International Dimensions and Accountability

The Easter Sunday attacks were linked to international terrorist networks, but their success in Sri Lanka cannot be divorced from local political conditions. The systematic marginalization of Muslim communities had created grievances that extremist groups could exploit for recruitment and operational purposes.

International observers have noted how political exploitation of religious tensions in Sri Lanka mirrors patterns seen in other countries where terrorist attacks succeeded. The combination of political opportunism, social polarization, and security failures creates vulnerabilities that extremist groups can exploit.

Lessons for Democratic Governance

The tragedy highlights the dangerous consequences of using religious and ethnic divisions for political gain. While politicians may view such strategies as merely electoral tactics, they create real-world conditions that can facilitate violence and terrorism.

Democratic societies require political leaders who unite rather than divide, who address genuine security concerns without scapegoating entire communities. The Easter Sunday attacks demonstrate how political irresponsibility can have deadly consequences for innocent civilians.

Moving Forward: Reconciliation and Reform

Preventing future tragedies requires honest examination of how political rhetoric contributes to social tensions. This includes holding politicians accountable for inflammatory statements, reforming media regulations to prevent hate speech, and building institutional safeguards against the political exploitation of religious differences.

The victims of Easter Sunday deserve more than just the prosecution of direct perpetrators. They deserve a political system that doesn't create conditions where such attacks become possible. This requires fundamental changes in how Sri Lankan politics approaches diversity and security.

While the Easter Sunday massacre was executed by terrorist groups with international connections, the political environment that enabled their success was largely homegrown. Addressing this reality is essential for preventing future tragedies and building a more inclusive, secure society.

The path forward requires acknowledging uncomfortable truths about political responsibility while working toward genuine reconciliation. Only by understanding how political exploitation of religious tensions contributes to violence can Sri Lanka hope to prevent similar tragedies in the future.